Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000985 0.001116 0.001255 0.001412 0.001583 0.001765 0.001972
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000738 0.000915 0.001116 0.001356 0.001636 0.001948 0.002323
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000607 0.000803 0.001034 0.001322 0.001671 0.002074 0.002573
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000523 0.000731 0.000986 0.001318 0.001731 0.002223 0.002847
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000458 0.000674 0.000949 0.001317 0.001789 0.002364 0.003109
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000400 0.000619 0.000906 0.001303 0.001823 0.002473 0.003332
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000349 0.000566 0.000861 0.001279 0.001842 0.002559 0.003524
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000322 0.000544 0.000855 0.001306 0.001926 0.002728 0.003822
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000297 0.000522 0.000847 0.001328 0.002001 0.002885 0.004109
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000263 0.000483 0.000810 0.001307 0.002016 0.002962 0.004290
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000232 0.000445 0.000772 0.001281 0.002020 0.003024 0.004451
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000214 0.000427 0.000763 0.001294 0.002080 0.003160 0.004714
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000198 0.000411 0.000754 0.001310 0.002145 0.003307 0.004996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000172 0.000377 0.000715 0.001276 0.002136 0.003350 0.005137
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000344 0.000676 0.001240 0.002119 0.003380 0.005259
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000325 0.000659 0.001236 0.002152 0.003481 0.005480
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000309 0.000644 0.001236 0.002187 0.003586 0.005709
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000110 0.000289 0.000622 0.001222 0.002202 0.003659 0.005893
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000269 0.000596 0.001200 0.002201 0.003709 0.006044
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000264 0.000599 0.001225 0.002278 0.003875 0.006367
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000257 0.000598 0.001246 0.002345 0.004029 0.006673
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000240 0.000576 0.001226 0.002347 0.004082 0.006832
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000223 0.000551 0.001201 0.002338 0.004119 0.006966